DWCS 2023: Episode 1 Breakdown and Predictions

Bogdan Grad Credit: Tapology

Lightweight: Tom Nolan Vs. Bogdan Grad

Tale of the tape

Tom Nolan
23-years-old
6’3″
Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
Team Compton Training Centre
5-0
3 KO/TKO’s
Combined opponent’s record: 20-10
Bogdan Grad
27-years-old
5’9″
Weiz, Austria
ETTL BROS MMA
11-1
7 KO/TKO’s, 2 Submissions
Combined opponent’s record: 44-31-1

Pros and Cons

Tom Nolan

Pros

  • Tough
  • Good clinch work
  • Nasty elbows
  • Gritty
  • Good left cross
  • Fast starter
  • Constant output

Cons

  • Slows as the fight goes
  • TDD needs some work
  • Gives up his back easy

Bogdan Grad

Pros

  • Diverse
  • Submission threat
  • Fast hands
  • Hard to read
  • Deceptive power
  • Heavy leg kicks
  • Good jiu-jitsu
  • Active kicking attack
  • Excellent body kick
  • Explosive

Cons

  • Head sits on the centerline
  • Throws with wasted motion at times

Who has the advantage?

Striking: Nolan
Speed: Nolan
Output/Volume: Nolan
Kickboxing: Grad
Striking defense: Even
Footwork/movement: Nolan
Wrestling: Grad
Grappling: Grad
Gas tank: Grad

Prediction: I went back and forth with this fight just because it’s a tight fight stylistically. Grad is more seasoned and more proven. My biggest issue with him is Nolan is going to be significantly the bigger fighter. He’s going to be six inches taller in fact. The size doesn’t matter too much though as Nolan is more of a pocket striker.

Grad could win this fight based on landing that big shot or even if he uses a bit of wrestling. Nolan is tough so it’s going to be hard to put him away. The most likely path I see this fight going is Nolan winning off volume. I see Nolan being able to outpoint Grad as Grad isn’t great defensively. I do think this is the hardest fight to predict this week.