DWCS 2022 Week 3 Breakdown and Predictions

Clayton Carpenter, LFA 119 Credit: Legacy Fighting Alliance

Flyweight: Clayton Carpenter Vs. Edgar Chairez

Tale of the tape

Clayton Carpenter
26-years-old
5’5″
Glendale, Arizona, US
MMA Lab
5-0
2 KO/TKOs, 2 Submissions
Combined opponent’s record:10-8
Edgar Chairez
26-years-old
5’7″
Baja California, Mexico
Entram Gym
8-3
4 KO/TKOs, 4 Submissions
Combined opponent’s record: 31-16-1

Pros and Cons

Clayton Carpenter

Pros

  • Strong wrestling
  • Excellent ground and pound
  • Powerful compact striker
  • Good feints
  • Explosive
  • Starts strong
  • Throws in combinations
  • Mixes in kicks and punches
  • Slick jiu-jitsu
  • Heavy leg kicks

Cons

  • Hands drop as the fight goes
  • Suspect gas tank

Edgar Chairez

Pros

  • Dangerous knees
  • Submission threat
  • Good clinch work
  • Good calf kicks
  • Good straight punches
  • Fights long well
  • Good in flurries
  • Good kicks
  • Covers distance well
  • Good off his back
  • Solid get-up ability

Cons

  • Poor TDD
  • Slows as the fight goes
  • Hands low

Who has the advantage?

Striking: Carpenter
Speed: Even
Output/Volume: Carpenter
Kickboxing: Chairez
Striking defense: Carpenter
Footwork/movement: Carpenter
Wrestling: Carpenter
Grappling: Even
More likely to finish on the mat: Carpenter
Gas tank: Even

Prediction: I love the replacement for Steve Erceg, who Carpenter was supposed to face, and I actually think Chairez is a tougher fight for Carpenter now.

In Ecreg, Carpenter had a big advantage on the feet but Chairez is a scrapper. Chairez has that Mexican brawling style; he’s a scrapper on the feet and has some dangerous grappling.

Carpenter will be able to take this fight down at will but he will have more trouble holding his opponent down. I do believe Carpenter is the better grappler and if Chairez can’t stop from getting taken down he will eventually get caught in a sub.

This fight is going to be intriguing as long as the fight is on the feet. Carpenter fights better with the basics, being the feints, combos, and power. If he doesn’t press forward Chairez could chew him up from space with long punches and leg kicks. I’m predicting it to be a high-paced fight with Carpenter getting his hand raised. I like Carpenter to press forward, use combinations to close the distance, to get takedowns. Eventually, I expect Carpenter to finish Chairez with ground and pound. Chairez I like though and I think he would bring a lot of fun to the UFC— but the pick is Carpenter.