Lightweight: Rodrigo Lidio Vs. Mateusz Rebecki
Tale of the tape
32-years-old
5’11”
Salvador, Bahia, Brazil
Nordeste Jiu-Jitsu
12-2
10 KO/TKOs, 2 Submissions
Combined opponent’s record: 80-43
29-years-old
5’7″
Szczecin, Poland
Berserker’s Team
15-1
8 KO/TKOs, 5 Submissions
Combined opponent’s record: 152-52
Pros and Cons
Rodrigo Lidio
Pros
- Huge knockout power
- Power right hand
- Dangerous in exchanges
- Covers distance well
- Sneaky good uppercut
- Explosive
- Dangerous knees
- Good shot-placement
Cons
- Poor TDD
- Will over-extend on punches
Mateusz Rebecki
Pros
- Submission threat
- Good wrestling
- Excellent jiu-jitsu
- Heavy overhands
- Strong top position
- Good one-two
- Constant forward pressure
- Good straight punches
- Damaging ground and pound
Cons
- Can throw wild at times
Who has the advantage?
Striking: Lidio
Speed: Rebecki
Output/Volume: Rebecki
Kickboxing: Lidio
Striking defense: Lidio
Footwork/movement: Even
Wrestling: Rebecki
Grappling: Rebecki
More likely to finish on the mat: Rebecki
Gas tank: Even
Prediction: There’s no reason either of these fighters should be fighting on Dana White’s Contender Series. Both have done enough, especially Rebecki, to warrant a straight-up UFC contract.
Rebecki has a clear path to victory and that’s to take Lidio down. Lidio has terrible takedown defense but usually gets right back up. Letting a Polish ADCC gold medalist take you down will be a bad idea mind you.
The longer Rebecki stands with Lidio, the likelihood of him getting floored becomes more likely. Lidio has that death punch power in his hands and can finish at any moment. Rebecki is going to have to fight a perfect fight in order not to get caught. Lidio is easy to take down so I can’t pick him to win this fight. I predict Rebecki to get the takedown and finish Lidio in the first round. I do like Lidio but it’s unfortunate he has to fight Rebecki.
