DWCS 2022 Week 2 Breakdown and Predictions

Billy Goff (red gloves) vs Ryan Hardy Credit: Mike McClory/Cageside Press

Welterweight: Billy Goff Vs. Shimon Smotritsky

Tale of the tape

Billy Goff
23-years-old
5’10”
Groton, Connecticut, US
Dexter MMA
7-2
5 KO/TKOs
Combined opponent’s record: 33-11
Shimon Smotritsky
21-years-old
6’2″
Holon, Israel
Teampact Holon
8-1 4 KO/TKOs, 1 Submission
Combined opponent’s record: 30-15

Pros and Cons

Billy Goff

Pros

  • Toughness
  • Nasty elbows
  • Good ground and pound
  • Constant volume
  • Underrated wrestling
  • Goes body-head often
  • Good bodywork
  • Excellent ground and pound/Elbows
  • Frequent pressure
  • Gets better as the fight goes

Cons

  • Doesn’t care to be hit
  • Comes in on straight lines
  • TDD needs work

Shimon Smotritsky

Pros

  • Solid wrestling
  • Good jiu-jitsu
  • Chain wrestles well
  • Good ground and pound
  • Solid jiu-jitsu
  • Smooth back take
  • Tight grappling
  • Submission threat
  • Good upperbody/clinch takedowns
  • Improved hands
  • Solid kickboxing

Cons

  • Has trouble against the cage
  • Slows slightly as the fight goes

Who has the advantage?

Striking: Goff
Speed: Even
Output/Volume: Goff
Kickboxing: Smotritsky
Striking defense: Smotritsky
Footwork/movement: Smotritsky
Wrestling: Smotritsky
Grappling: Smotritsky
More likely to finish on the mat: Smotritsky
Gas tank: Goff

Prediction: Smotritsky fought last season on the Contender Series and came up short to Mike Mallott. The fight happened so quickly, with Smotritsky getting caught in a guillotine in under a minute, that he never had a chance to show anything.

Goff is a guy who Smotritsky is going to be able to showcase everything against while proving a lot of things about himself. Goff may not be the cleanest fighter but is a dog and to beat him you have to put him down.

Chances are likely that this fight goes one of two ways: Smotritsky getting the submission early or Goff wearing on him getting the late finish. Of all the fights on this card, this one is the toughest one to call. I’m leaning towards Smotritsky due to the fact he is the larger guy and his ground game is the key to victory.