Road to UFC: Episode 3 Breakdown and Predictions

Bantamweight: Rinya Nakamura Vs. Gugun Gusman

Tale of the tape

Rinya Nakamura
Saitama, Japan
27-years-old
5’7″
4-0
4-fight win streak
Gugun Gusman
Indonesia
32-year-old
5’7″
8-3
2-fight win streak

Pros and Cons

Rinya Nakamura

Pros

  • Scrambles well
  • Fast starter
  • Good back take
  • Excellent wrestling
  • Good movement

Cons

  • N/A

Gugun Gusman

Pros

  • Physically strong
  • Excellent clinch work/control
  • Good ground and pound
  • Good output
  • Sneaky good head kick
  • Good wrestling
  • Blends together kicks and punches

Cons

  • Can over pursue at times

Prediction: Gusman isn’t bad and actually is more well-rounded than most in this tournament. He wrestles more but he will have to rely more on his striking for this one.

Nakamura is a decorated wrestler with a lot of experience before transitioning to MMA. He won a bronze medal at the 2011 Cadet World Championship, a 2016 & 2017 Meiji Cup champion, and the 2017 U23 World Championship, and has a 37-10 freestyle record. Zero chance Gusman out-wrestles Nakamura. Gusman could outdo Nakamura on the feet but that won’t be an easy task. Nakamura has a speed advantage, real good footwork, and more knockout power. Gusman has a good skill set but Nakamura has him covered everywhere.