Road to UFC 3: Episode 3 Breakdown and Predictions

Lightweight, Won Bin Ki Vs. Tatsuya Saika

Tale of the Tape

Won Bin Ki
Seoul, South Korea
33
Five-foot-eleven
17-9
Combined opponent’s record: 88-84-1
Tatsuya Saika
Kanagawa, Japan
33
Five-foot-eleven
11-4
Combined opponent’s record: 113-96-14

Pros and Cons

Won Bin Ki

Pros

  • Good right hand
  • Knockout power
  • Fast starter
  • Constant forward pressure
  • dangerous in exchanges

Cons

  • Weak chin
  • Gets drawn into brawls
  • Reckless

Tatsuya Saika

Pros

  • Good jab
  • Uses range well
  • Fast hands
  • Heavy hands

Cons

  • TDD needs work
  • Hands too low
  • Suspect chin
  • Lacks submission/grappling defense
  • Come in reckless

Prediction: Ki is getting another shot after being on the other two seasons of Road to UFC. He lost in season one to Jeka Saragih. Last season he lost a DQ to Bahatebole Batebolati and both are bad-looking losses.

Saika is either the hammer or the nail. He can with win with a dramatic or knockout or end up submitted or knocked out himself. That could work out for him on Road to UFC 3 since Ki is reckless and has a weak chin. It basically depends on whose chin holds up longer. I’m slightly siding with Saika because he’s the better striker offensively. He is chinny but so is Ki. If Ki just stands there and lets Saika land on him like he did against Batebolati he’s getting put away.