DWCS 2021 Week 3 Breakdown and Predictions

UFC Apex - Dana White's Contender Series (DWCS)
UFC Apex Credit: UFC/ESPN

It’s a busy Tuesday night for Dana White’s Contender Series this week. After starting out season five of DWCS with just four fights, this time out there’s a full six bouts going down.

Among the notable names, heavyweight Jailton Junior, Australia’s Jack Della Maddalena, and Canadian flyweight Jasmine Jasudavicius, who competed BTC prior to jumping to CFFC and landing on the UFC’s radar.

There’s lots of action to break down — let’s get the show on the road!

Heavyweight: Jailton Junior vs. Nasrudin Nasrudinov

Tale of the Tape

Jailton Junior
30-years-old
6’4″
Salvador, Bahia, Brazil
LG System
13-2
100% finish-rate
Nasrudin Nasrudinov
29-years-old
6’0″
Moscow, Russia
Akhmat Fight Club
9-0
Four decisions

Pros and Cons

Jailton Junior

Pros

  • Light on his feet
  • Good kicks
  • Solid wrestling
  • Top-notch BJJ
  • Excellent ground control
  • Heavy ground and pound
  • Submission threat
  • Aggressive

Cons

  • Shaky chin

Nasrudin Nasrudinov

Pros

  • Good right hand
  • Excellent ground and pound
  • Good wrestling
  • Relentless takedown attempts
  • Good leg kicks

Cons

  • Will load up on his punches
  • Telegraphs what he’s going to throw
  • Takedown attempts get sloppy as the fight goes
  • Brings hands back to his face too slowly
  • Hands low
  • Slows as the fight goes
  • Not much off his back

Who has the advantage?

Striking: Nasrudinov
Speed: Junior
Output/Volume: Junior
Knockout Power: Junior
Chin: Nasrudinov
Kickboxing: Junior
Footwork: Junior
Wrestling: Junior
Grappling: Junior
Submissions: Junior
Cardio: Even

Prediction

The best chance Nasrudinov has is to knock Junior out. It is possible as Junior has been knocked out before and dropped in other fights. I’m not fully convinced Nasrudinov is the better striker as Junior started out in boxing at the age of eight. Junior is the bigger, faster, and most athletic fighter on the feet. Junior just doesn’t strike long but I can’t see him having much trouble on the feet against Nasrudinov. Now, if this fight goes down to the mat Junior has a distinct advantage. Nasrudinov is good on the mat too but Junior is more well-versed. In terms of wrestling, jiu-jitsu, control, and killer instinct Junior has him beat. The pick is Jailton Junior and I think he can end this fight.