DWCS 2020 Week 5 Breakdown and Predictions

UFC Apex, home of Dana White's Contender Series (DWCS)
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – AUGUST 11: A general view inside the UFC APEX during week two of Dana White’s Contender Series season four on August 11, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Chris Unger/DWCS LLC/Zuffa LLC)

Lightweight: Tucker Lutz vs. Chase Gibson

Tale of the Tape

Tucker Lutz
26-years-old
5’7″
Reisterstown, Maryland, US
Ground Control Academy
9-1
Chase Gibson
30-years-old
5’8″
Los Angeles, California, US
California Mixed Martial Arts
9-4

Pros and Cons

Tucker Lutz

Pros

  • Solid ground and pound
  • Solid wrestling
  • Dangerous guillotine
  • Good jiu-jitsu

Cons

  • Questionable striking defense

Chase Gibson

Pros

  • Good right hand
  • Good ground and pound
  • Good jiu-jitsu
  • Threatens with chokes

Cons

  • Poor TDD
  • Easy to read
  • Can be too comfortable off his back

Who has the advantage?

Striking: Lutz
Speed: Lutz
Output/Volume: Lutz
Knockout Power: Lutz
Chin: Lutz
Kickboxing: Gibson
Footwork: Lutz
Wrestling: Lutz
Grappling: Gibson
Submissions: Gibson
Cardio: Even

Prediction

It’s hard to get a good read on Lutz because of the limited pro footage. From what I saw, the closest resemblance (and others are saying so as well) is Sean Brady. With Gibson, he’s got good offensive grappling but that’s about it. On the feet, he’s a bit too easy to read as the right hand and body kick is about all he throws. Of what I’ve seen from Lutz I’ve liked. I think the possibility of Lutz just marching forward getting takedown after takedown is likely to happen. That gameplan has worked against Gibson before as Rafa Garcia dominated him with that same strategy. I like Lutz everywhere in this fight and to get a stoppage at some point.