DWCS 2020 Week 5 Breakdown and Predictions

UFC Apex
UFC Apex/Dana White’s Contender Series Credit: Rodney James Edgar/Cageside Press

Bantamweight: Jose Johnson vs. Ronnie Lawrence

Tale of the Tape

Jose Johnson
25-years-old
6’0″
74.0″ reach
Copperas Cove, Texas
StrKings
11-5
Ronnie Lawrence
28-years-old
5’8″
70.0″ reach
Deerfield Beach, Florida
5-1

Pros and Cons

Jose Johnson

Pros

  • Good use of his range
  • Excellent muay thai
  • Good leg kicks
  • Athletic
  • Good bodywork
  • Mixes it up very well
  • Throws is some goon angels
  • Good kicks
  • Explosive
  • So good in the clinch
  • Lethal elbows
  • Solid cardio

Cons

  • Weak TDD
  • Grappling defense needs work

Ronnie Lawrence

Pros

  • Excellent kicks
  • Mixes it up very well
  • Good bodywork
  • Understanding of his distance
  • Very good knees
  • Good wrestling
  • Good leg kicks
  • Diverse attack
  • Well-rounded
  • Good movement

Cons

  • Does drop his hands too low at times

Who has the advantage?

Striking: Johnson
Speed: Lawrence
Output/Volume: Lawrence
Knockout Power: Johnson
Chin: Unknown
Kickboxing: Lawrence
Footwork: Lawrence
Wrestling: Lawrence
Grappling: Lawrence
Submissions: Neither
Cardio: Even

Prediction

I love this fight as it’s between two creative high-level strikers. As good as Lawrence is on the feet his clearest path to victory is to use his wrestling. The thing is, I haven’t seen Lawrence wrestle enough for me to think he can take Johnson down. And even though he may take Johnson down, I don’t think he can hold him down for long at all.

On the feet, it’s going to be super fun as both men can end the fight at any time. I’m leaning towards Johnson because he’s got a big physicality advantage. Johnson in this fight has a five-inch height advantage and a four-inch reach advantage. Lawrence may throw a bit more but Johnson has conviction in what he throws. The pick is Johnson in what should be an awesome fight.