Road to UFC 2: Episode 3 Breakdown and Predictions

Bantamweight, Long Xiao Vs. Shohei Nose

Tale of the Tape

Long Xiao
Shanxi, China
25-years-old
5’8″
16-6
Two-fight win streak
Combined opponents’ record: 105-84-2
Shohei Nose
Fukuoka, Japan
25-years-old
5’6″
10-3-2
Combined opponents’ record: 82-48-14

Pros and Cons

Long Xiao

Pros

  • N/A

Cons

  • Wide guard
  • Throws single strikes
  • Stationary head movement
  • Plodding footwork

Shohei Nose

Pros

  • Submission threat
  • Good leg kicks
  • Good wrestling
  • Fast starter
  • Diverse submission attack

Cons

  • Slows as the fight goes
  • TDD needs work
  • Submission before position

Prediction: The only fight you can find of Xiao is his Contender Series bout in 2021. Some think he looked good but I didn’t see anything that stood out. Plus, losing to Cristian Quiñonez, who has fought just once since then, isn’t a good loss.

Nose hasn’t looked much better but has shown a lot more tools compared to Xiao. It may be a close fight but Nose should have a big advantage on the feet. Not super confident but I like Nose in this fight.