DWCS 2020 Week 9 Breakdown and Predictions

Nikolas Motta Credit: Nova Uniao

Lightweight: Joe Lowry vs. Nikolas Motta

Tale of the Tape

Joe Lowry
30-years-old
5’10”
72″
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, US
Daddis Mixed Martial Arts Academy
9-1
Nikolas Motta
27-years-old
5’9″
Toms River, New Jersey, US but from Brazil
Ricardo Almeida Jiu Jitsu
11-3

Pros and Cons

Joe Lowry

Pros

  • Good wrestling/Grinder
  • Good jab
  • Knockout power
  • Nice hands/Good combinations

Cons

  • Questionable cardio
  • Questionable chin

Nikolas Motta

Pros

  • Heavy hands
  • Dangerous head kick
  • Good striking
  • Goes body-head very well
  • Excellent in blitzes
  • Good cardio

Cons

  • Shaky chin
  • TDD needs work

Who has the advantage?

Striking: Motta
Speed: Motta
Output/Volume: Motta
Knockout Power: Motta
Chin: Lowry
Kickboxing: Motta
Footwork: Even
Wrestling: Lowry
Grappling: Lowry
Submissions: Lowry
Cardio: Motta

Prediction

There is a lot to like about both Nikolas Motta and Joe Lowry, especially as both come to their fights looking for the finish. Which is exactly what you want to see on DWCS. But while I do like Lowry, there are a lot of questions about his durability. There’s not a lot of footage on him either, so it’s difficult to get a great read.

Motta meanwhile is very talented on the feet and is someone who I think can give many guys in the UFC problems. The difficulty is, he’s defensively flawed, has been knocked out before, and his TDD needs work. If Lowry if he wants, he should be able to just wrestle Motta. He could very well knock Motta out, but he would be playing with fire.

I’m taking Lowry in this one, because he is the more well-rounded fighter, and if he can take Motta down he should be able to control the fight. I wouldn’t be surprised if Motta finished Lowry, but looking at Lowry’s sole KO loss, it was due to elbows from Devonte Smith, so no shame there.