Road to UFC 4 Episodes 5 and 6 Breakdown and Predictions

Lightweight, Dom Mar Fan (7-2) Vs. Park Jae Hyun (8-3)

Dom Mar Fan

Pros:
-Nasty ground and pound
-Good ground and pound
-Good kicks
-Submission threat
-Good positional grappling
-Diverse submission attack
-Good cage wrestling
Cons:
-Questionable cardio
-Doesn’t fare well against pressure

Jae Hyun Park

Pros:
-Submission threat
-Solid grappling
-Uses feints well
-Heavy ground and pound
-Strikes to wrestler well
-Strong grappling control
Cons:
-Stands squared/Limited footwork
-Head movement lacks

Prediction: This is a matchup between two fighters coming off impressive performances. Fan dominated the tournament favorite, Yuji Yannick Ephoeviga, while Park steamrolled Becker as an underdog. Both rely heavily on their wrestling and grappling, with striking as a secondary tool.

Neither man is particularly sharp on the feet, but Park is especially vulnerable. His defensive flaws and questionable chin make him a liability in stand-up exchanges. Fan doesn’t carry much power, but he mixes in his kickboxing well enough to keep opponents honest.

If this fight plays out primarily on the ground, Fan is the more aggressive grappler and has shown a better instinct for chasing finishes. Still, it’s likely to be competitive, especially if Park can control positions. I’m picking Fan by decision, though I am not confident.