Road to UFC Season 4: Episode 2 Breakdown and Predictions

Flyweight, Mridul Saikia (8-0) Vs. Agulali (12-1)

Mridul Saikia

Saikia is an underwhelming fighter who doesn’t offer much offensively. While he is a submission threat, most of his finishes come from opponents making mistakes rather than him creating opportunities.

His takedown defense is solid, but his offensive wrestling is lacking. On the feet, he does just enough to get by, relying on single strikes with little setup or feints. He throws leg kicks, but he’s predictable, going to the same techniques too often without variation.

Agulali

Agulali is one of the most promising prospects from China, and it’s exciting to see him on Road to UFC this season. While he doesn’t have a standout signature win yet, it’s important to note that many Chinese fighters haven’t had the chance to face top-tier competition, so his resume isn’t a fair reflection of his potential.

Though his grappling defense raises some concerns, his offensive grappling is top-notch. His ground and pound, especially his body-to-head transitions, is a thing of beauty. Additionally, his submission game is tricky—his last two wins came via twister and Suloev stretch, proving how dangerous he is on the ground.

On the feet, Agulali is sharp and calculated, landing damaging calf kicks and wielding a dangerous right hand. He controls the pace with his leg kicks, jab, and well-rounded bodywork, seamlessly blending his hands and kicks. He’s also capable of fighting off his back foot when needed, as seen in various moments throughout his career.

Prediction: Saikia has little chance here. I don’t see any realistic path to victory for him unless he somehow exposes Agulali’s grappling, but I don’t think that’s a significant concern. And even if it were, Saikia isn’t the fighter to exploit it.

I expect Saikia’s poor footwork to be his downfall, allowing Agulali to land his kicks at will. Eventually, Saikia will likely rush in, and I see him getting dropped by Agulali’s powerful right hand. Agulali is simply the better fighter in every area, and this should serve as a showcase fight for him.