DWCS 2024: Episode 7 Breakdown and Predictions

Strawweight, Alexia Thainara (10-1) vs Rose Conceicao (7-0)

Notable Notes

  • Thainara has won three regional titles.
  • Both originally had different scheduled opponents.
  • Thainara has a win over current UFC fighter Rayanne Amanda.
  • The only loss Thainara has is to UFC fighter Bruna Brasil.

Alexia Thainara

Pros

  • A lot of volume
  • Good shot-placement
  • Decent-enough wrestling
  • Utilizes trips well
  • Submission threat

Cons

  • Stiff striking
  • Squared stance

Rose Conceicao

Pros

  • Solid wrestling
  • Good kicks
  • Good ground and pound
  • Well-conditioned

Cons

  • Vulnerable in exchanges
  • TDD needs work
  • Whiffs on a lot of punches
  • Throws wide/Sloppy
  • Doesn’t like pressure

Boxing: Thainara
Kickboxing: Conceicao
Speed: Thainara
Output/Volume: Thainara
Footwork/Movement: Conceicao
Striking defense: Even
Wrestling: Conceicao
Grappling: Conceicao
Gas tank: Conceicao

Prediction: Conceição was a seven-time Brazilian national wrestling champion. Her wrestling has translated well in her MMA career and has been her main weapon. Conceição’s defense is pretty lackluster on her back foot. She gets careless and throws back with wild sloppy hooks.

Lately, Conceição has fallen in love too much with her striking. It’s not ideal because it still needs a lot of work and her wrestling is so good. I’ve been more impressed with Thainara lately but that’s easy considering the level of competition she’s been beating.

Match-ups make fights and I think this is a good one for Conceição. Thainara could just out volume on the feet but I feel are both even. Thainara is better on the mat and that’s where Conceição is superior. It’s one of those fights I believe Thainara has more potential but Conceição is the better of the two. I’ve got Conceicao via decision because of her wrestling and I’m 50% confident.