DWCS 2024: Episode 3 Breakdown and Predictions

Featherweight, Michael Aswell (9-1) Vs. Bogdan Grad (13-2)

Notable Notes

  • Grad fought last season on DWCS getting knocked out by Tom Nolan.
  • Grad has won two in a row following his DWCS loss.
  • Aswell is coming off winning the Fury FC featherweight title.
  • Grad moved down to featherweight after that DWCS fight.
  • Both have only lost to good fighters.

Michael Aswell

Pros

  • Good right hand
  • Active ground and pound
  • Good dirty boxing
  • Puts his hands together well
  • Good one-two
  • Cuts the cage off well

Cons

  • Lacks urgency
  • No head movement
  • Lacks top control
  • Sits in the pocket too long
  • Low volume
  • There to be countered
  • Flat-footed

Bogdan Grad

Pros

  • Diverse
  • Submission threat
  • Fast hands
  • Hard to read
  • Deceptive power
  • Heavy leg kicks
  • Good jiu-jitsu
  • Active kicking attack
  • Excellent body kick
  • Explosive

Cons

  • Head sits on the centerline
  • Throws with wasted motion at times
  • Shaky chin
  • TDD needs work

Prediction: Grad may be fragile and has a lot of holes but so does Aswell. Aswell is coming off a first-round finish but he’s always in a slower-paced fight. He’s got clean hands but point-fights for the most part. He doesn’t commit to anything.

Aswell may not have been knocked out like Grad has but his striking defense isn’t great at all. Aswell may be the favorite but Grad would be more fun to have in the UFC. I’ve got Grad wining here because he has more weapons and more ways to win. He should avoid getting knocked out because Aswell typically doesn’t press the pace and doesn’t seem to have the power. I’m taking Grad by second-round knockout and I’m 35% confident.