DWCS 2022 Week 7 Breakdown and Predictions

Ismael Bonfim vs. Nariman Abbasov, Dana White’s Contender Series 53 weigh-in Credit: Alex Behunin/Cageside Press

Lightweight: Nariman Abbasov Vs. Ismael Bonfim

Tale of the tape

Nariman Abbasov
28-years-old
5’8″
Baku, Azerbaijan
Gabala
28-3
11 KO/TKOs, 5 Submissions
Combined opponent’s record: 204-68-7
Ismael Bonfim
26-years-old
5’8″
Brasilia, Federal District, Brazil
Cerrado MMA
17-3
8 KO/TKOs, 4 Submissions
Combined opponent’s record: 102-64-6

Pros and Cons

Nariman Abbasov

Pros

  • Good kicks
  • Dangerous in exchanges
  • Good knees
  • Constant forward pressure
  • Good in the pocket
  • Thrives in brawls

Cons

  • Wild striking/Spams overhands
  • TDD needs work
  • Misses a lot
  • Slows as the fight goes/Gets sluggish

Ismael Bonfim

Pros

  • Good jab
  • Submission threat
  • Good body kicks
  • Strong BJJ
  • Good pull-counter
  • Good vision
  • Nasty bodywork
  • Composed
  • Hands up/High guard
  • Deep gas tank
  • Good check hook
  • Slips punches well
  • Solid TDD
  • Good knees

Cons

  • Gives up his back

Who has the advantage?

Striking: Bonfim
Speed: Bonfim
Output/Volume: Abbasov
Kickboxing: Abbasov
Striking defense: Bonfim
Footwork/movement: Bonfim
Wrestling: Even
Grappling: Bonfim
More likely to finish on the mat: Bonfim
Gas tank: Bonfim

Prediction: I thought this fight would be close before rewatching the tape. With that said I think this could very well be one-sided towards Bonfim.

On the feet, Bonfim has a massive advantage. He has some of the sharpest boxing you see and Abbasov is the total opposite. Abbasov is far from technical and just swings overhands and hooks. What beats overhands and wide hooks? Quick straight punches and that’s what Bonfim has.

Abbasov has to take this fight down but I can’t see it happening. He fails to use angles and lacks the technique to get Bonfim down. Even if he was to get Bonfim down Bonfim has far better jiu-jitsu. To make matters worse for Abbasov he slows as the fight goes and Bonfim fights at the same pace. I’m picking Bonfim and I think he finishes late in the fight.